The 2018-based Household Projections for England by household type were published yesterday.
The 2018-based household projections provide statistics on the potential future number of households in England and its local authorities up to 2043. Household projections are not a prediction or forecast of how many houses should be built in the future. Instead, they show how many additional households would form if assumptions based on previous demographic trends in population growth and household formation were to be realised. Projections do not factor in the effect of the coronavirus (COVID-19) or attempt to predict the impact of political circumstances.
Household population projections are published every two years. These latest projections supersede the 2016-based household projections.
In brief the projections show that:
– St. Helens households are projected to increase by 13% from approximately 79,000 households in 2018 to 89,000 households in 2043. This compares to a 13% increase across the North West and a 16% increase in household numbers nationally.
– The number of one person households in St. Helens is projected to increase by 19% between 2018 and 2043, which compares to a 24% increase in England.
– In St. Helens, it is projected that there will be 29,600 one person households by 2043.
– The number of households with dependent children is projected to increase by 5% in St. Helens between 2018 and 2043, with 25% of households having dependent children.
– Almost all the projected increase in households in St. Helens by 2043 will be due to increases in one person or multiple adult households without dependent children. This increase will be largely driven by increases in the number of adults aged over 75 years and living on their own, a similar pattern to that seen nationally.
– By 2043, the number of households in St. Helens with people aged over 75 years is expected to almost double to almost 20,000 households.