The 2016-based Household Projections for England have been published today.

This is the first time that the ONS has produced these projections, as they were previously the responsibility of the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (MHCLG). Previous sets of household projections can be found on the MHCLG website. ONS took responsibility for the household projections in January 2017.

The 2016-based household projections provide statistics on the potential future number of households in England and its local authorities up to 2041. They show the household numbers that would result if the assumptions based in previous demographic trends in population and household formation were to be realised in practice.

Household population projections are published every two years. These latest projections supersede the 2014-based household projections. Breakdowns of overall projected numbers of households by household type will be published in autumn 2018.

In brief the projections show that for St. Helens and the North West:

  • The number of households in St. Helens between 2016 and 2041 is projected to increase by approximately 8,000 (10.2%) from 78,000 to 86,000.
  • The average percentage change in the number of households within the North West region is projected to be 11% between 2016 and 2041, below the England average of 17%. This is the second slowest rate of household growth of all regions.
  • The number of households headed by someone aged 75 and over in St. Helens is projected to increase from 12,000 in 2016 to 21,000 in 2041, a 75% increase.